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Downturn refresher: what happens when prices start falling?

When we think about the housing market we tend to focus on when values rise but in the recent past values have fallen in each capital city; this week we look at the magnitude and duration of these falls in the past. Throughout the past 20 years it has been much more common for combined […]

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What is going on in the Sydney housing market?

There’s been a number of articles this week about the peak of the Sydney market.  It does look as if the market is at or slightly past its peak however, it is important to thoroughly investigate how the market is tracking currently. Values Sydney home values have increased by 17.6% over the 12 months to […]

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The economic factors to watch for in 2015 that may impact the housing market

The combined capital city housing markers have seen values increase by 7.0% over the first 11 months of 2014.  Throughout the whole of 2013, capital city home values increased by 9.8% indicating that the rate of home value growth is likely to be lower this year than last.  On an annualised basis, combined capital city […]

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How does the current growth cycle compare to the 2001 to 2004 boom?

In this week’s blog we take a look at how current housing market conditions compare with the boom in home values between 2001 and early 2004.  Immediately a point to note is that the current housing market upswing came off the back of dwelling values falling over the previous two years. If we assume that […]

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September 2014 Reserve Bank Financial Stability Review

The Reserve Bank released their bi-annual Financial Stability Review (FSR) earlier today.  From a housing market perspective it makes for very interesting reading with the RBA noting that ‘the composition of housing and mortgage markets is becoming unbalanced, with new lending to investors being out of proportion to rental housing’s share of the housing stock.’ […]

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Forget affordability measures and ask yourself some tough questions

There are many measures of affordability in the marketplace, sadly I believe that many of these measures fail to accurately depict the affordability or otherwise of housing in Australia.  The main reason being that housing affordability is an extremely complex issue and many factors drive the affordability of housing.  In this blog post I am […]

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Weekly clearance rate

Has the housing market moved through the peak of the growth cycle?

The RP-Data Rismark Home Value Index reported its first month on month fall in May after capital city dwelling values consistently rose over the previous eleven months. The extent to which the May decline was a seasonal factor has been a key topic across the media; generally the month of May is a seasonally weak […]

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Lower consumer confidence will dampen the housing market

The latest consumer sentiment data arrived yesterday from Westpac and the Melbourne Institute. The reading of consumer confidence fell for the fourth consecutive month and moved below the 100 mark where optimists and pessimists are equally balanced. With a reading of 99.5, the index is virtually at a neutral setting but more than 10 index […]

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home sales small

What happens to housing values and sales volumes following an election?

In last week’s blog I looked at what happens to the housing market in the 12 months leading up to a federal election, this week I take a look at what happens in the 12 months after a federal election.  Once again, we have looked at movement in capital city home values and national house […]

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canberra values

Where to from here for home values?

According to the RP Data-Rismark Home Value Index results for June 2013, combined capital city home values increased by 3.8% over the 2012/13 financial year.  The growth in home values has been moderate, as we have noted in recent weeks, the response to the low mortgage rate environment has not been as strong as in […]

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